A closer look at the Conservatives' Senedd election manifesto

David DeansWales political reporter
News imageBBC A brochure that says "Fix Wales - Welsh Conservatives".BBC

The Welsh Conservatives manifesto has been launched making pledges to cut taxes, ban phones in schools and build roads.

It was the first manifesto to be published - the Tories scheduling the party's launch to ensure it was out before Reform launches its own on Thursday.

The Tory party says it is its plan for what it would do if it formed the next Welsh government.

That's a tall order, with the organisation struggling in the opinion polls - and with MSs privately acknowledging they could lose seats.

It's not irrelevant though - there's a likely a big moment after the election where politicians try to figure out how the next government would operate.

The manifesto could end up being a list of policies the Tories may want to see realised by a future rival Welsh government, in exchange for their support.

What do our BBC specialists make of the key promises?

Money: 1p off the basic rate of income tax

Felicity EvansWales money editor

There are some high spending commitments in this manifesto – a penny off the basic rate of income tax is estimated to cost £311m in 2026-27 alone.

The Welsh Conservatives say the tax cut will be funded via efficiency savings across the Welsh Government budget.

Talk of "efficiency savings" is often a favoured option among opposition parties looking for explanations of how they'll pay for policies.

While there may well be efficiencies to be found, a lack of detail about exactly where and how they will be identified may raise questions about whether such savings are aspirational rather than guaranteed.

It's also worth remembering last week's warning from the Institute for Fiscal Studies that the next Welsh government is currently forecast to see the funding it gets from the Treasury in London "slow significantly" over the next three years.

So the outlook right now is that money will be tighter for whoever wins power in May.

Health: What's an NHS 'emergency'?

Owain ClarkeWales health correspondent

Many of the Welsh Conservatives' pledges for health had already been announced in advance of the full manifesto

The headline promise is, if elected, the party would declare a "health emergency" across Wales.

It follows similar moves by two north Wales councils, Conwy and Denbighshire, - in response to perceived NHS failings in their localities.

But it's unclear to me what declaring a health emergency would mean in practice.

The party also promises a "Covid-type" response to fix the NHS "crisis" but the truth is the huge growth in waiting lists, which the NHS is still grappling with, was largely caused the pandemic response which involved postponing many planned operations to prioritise emergencies.

Education: Cheaper fees for some students

Bethan LewisWales family and education correspondent

What students have to pay to go to university is a topical issue because of the controversy around the UK government's plans for English students' loans.

The Welsh Conservatives have plans to incentivise Welsh students to study certain subjects by charging them less or repaying fees if they end up working in the Welsh public sector.

A key question will be who covers the cost of a £1,000 discount for students studying STEM subjects promised by the Tories. Cash-strapped universities will be very keen that they don't lose out.

And by refunding fees for teaching students who work in Wales, the Tories hope to address the major recruitment problems many schools are facing.

Environment: M4 Relief Road and restrictions on wind farms

Steffan MessengerWales environment correspondent

The Tories' manifesto provides further evidence that environmental issues are set to be a key dividing line between the parties ahead of the election.

Mindful of vocal campaigns against plans for more turbines and pylons in parts of the country, they propose a moratorium - a temporary ban - on "large scale wind and solar farms".

A long-standing pledge to revive the M4 relief road across the Gwent Levels is front and centre too - the scheme's abandonment in 2019 was seen as a huge win for environmentalists.

And offering a further £100m for the farming budget will appeal to a constituency of voters who've protested against the push towards greener agricultural policies over recent years.

Social care: Independent commission

India PollockWales social affairs correspondent

The challenge of how we pay for the care of vulnerable older people has crashed election campaigns in Westminster in previous years.

The Welsh Conservatives answer is to establish an independent commission to consider long term funding solutions - but some might question their urgency given that Wales has the fastest-growing proportion of older people in the UK.

They say they'd increase spending on health and social care but there's no mention in that section of the manifesto about how they would tackle the increase in referrals to children's services across Wales, which will disappoint many in the sector.

People who care for those with learning disabilities and autism would welcome better support services, but the Welsh Conservatives' promise to do that lacks detail.

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In March, BBC Wales is holding a live debate in Wrexham with a panel of politicians ahead of the Senedd election. Click here to apply to be in the audience.