Island population likely to drop to 96,460 by 2080
BBCLatest projections show Jersey's population is likely to remain stable at about 104,540 until 2050 before falling to 96,460 people in 2080.
The prediction comes from data released by Statistics Jersey which uses net migration scenarios to help inform planning for housing, public services and the workforce.
The population projection for 2080 is based on the average net migration figure of 380 additional people per year and expected fertility and life expectancy rates.
In order to maintain a stable working age population, a net migration of about 700 more people per year would be needed, Statistics Jersey said.
Net migration is the difference between the number of people moving to Jersey and the number leaving.
Statistics Jersey projected the number of working age people would drop if net migration figures increased by 400, similar to current figures.
"While the overall population would stay relatively stable in this scenario, the number of working age people would fall throughout the entire projection period, from 68,530 in 2024, to 62,770 by 2050, and finally down to 54,410 in 2080," it said.
'Fewer residents'
The report projected the size of other groups, including children aged under 16 and older adults aged 65 and over.
"Under all net migration scenarios, the number of people aged under 16 is projected to decrease from 2024 levels," it said.
"Over time, this would mean fewer residents born in Jersey ageing into the working age population.
"In contrast, the population of people aged 65 and over, is projected to increase under all net migration scenarios over the period 2024 to 2050."
The report looked at the number of dependent people for every 100 working age people to help plan future public services.
Statistics Jersey said the ratio would rise from 52.4 non-working-age people for every 100 at the end of 2024 to 77.3 by 2080, if net migration increased by 400.
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