BBC NEWS | Election 2005 | Key Seats

Home

Radio

Talk

Where I Live

A-Z Index

Low graphics version

Watch the BBC Election News

-----------------

SERVICES

RELATED SITES

Last Updated: Monday, 23 May, 2005, 12:34 GMT 13:34 UK

The last two general elections have seen the Liberal Democrats steadily increase their number of MPs. But in 2001 they still came third, behind Labour and the Conservatives. Below are the 99 seats that would be the most likely to fall to Charles Kennedy's party based on the results from 2001.

Seats gained graph

Liberal Democrat targets

Seats gained

Seats lost
Target seats

LIBERAL DEMOCRAT GAINS: 16 SEATS (in order of vulnerability)
No. Constituency Gain from New majority
1 Taunton CON 1.0%
4 Cardiff Central LAB 15.5%
5 Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey LAB 9.4%
12 Dunbartonshire East LAB 8.7%
13 Westmorland & Lonsdale CON 0.5%
18 Bristol West LAB 8.9%
19 Birmingham Yardley LAB 9.1%
28 Ceredigion PC 0.6%
36 Rochdale LAB 1.1%
38 Leeds North West LAB 4.2%
41 Falmouth & Camborne LAB 3.9%
55 Solihull CON 0.5%
59 Cambridge LAB 10.0%
77 Hornsey & Wood Green LAB 5.1%
145 Manchester Withington LAB 1.8%
467 Brent East LAB 8.7%
LIBERAL DEMOCRAT LOSSES: 5 SEATS
Constituency Lost to New majority
Devon West & Torridge CON 5.5%
Guildford CON 0.7%
Ludlow CON 4.4%
Newbury CON 6.3%
Weston-Super-Mare CON 4.2%
TARGET SEATS (in order of vulnerability)
2001 Results 2005 Results
No. Constituency Majority Party Party New majority
1 Taunton 0.4% CON LD 1.0 %
2 Orpington 0.5% CON CON 9.0 %
3 Surrey South West 1.7% CON CON 10.9 %
4 Cardiff Central 1.9% LAB LD 15.5 %
5 Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey 2.7% LAB LD 9.4 %
6 Dorset West 2.9% CON CON 4.6 %
7 Haltemprice & Howden 4.3% CON CON 10.7 %
8 Isle of Wight 4.5% CON CON 19.4 %
9 Eastbourne 4.8% CON CON 2.3 %
10 Wells 5.4% CON CON 5.7 %
11 Oldham East & Saddleworth 6% LAB LAB 8.3 %
12 Dunbartonshire East 6.3% LAB LD 8.7 %
13 Westmorland & Lonsdale 6.6% CON LD 0.5 %
14 Totnes 7.3% CON CON 3.8 %
15 Wiltshire North 7.3% CON CON 9.5 %
16 Maidenhead 7.6% CON CON 13.6 %
17 Dorset North 7.9% CON CON 4.2 %
18 Bristol West 8% LAB LD 8.9 %
19 Birmingham Yardley 8.6% LAB LD 9.1 %
20 New Forest East 9.1% CON CON 14.5 %
21 Aberdeen South 9.5% LAB LAB 3.2 %
22 Bournemouth East 9.6% CON CON 13.9 %
23 Bridgwater 10.4% CON CON 17.6 %
24 Westbury 10.5% CON CON 9.6 %
25 Ryedale 11.1% CON CON 23.7 %
26 Tiverton & Honiton 11.3% CON CON 19.0 %
27 Harborough 11.3% CON CON 8.1 %
28 Ceredigion 11.4% PC LD 0.6 %
29 Wantage 11.4% CON CON 15.4 %
30 Worcestershire West 12% CON CON 5.3 %
31 Norfolk South 12.3% CON CON 14.9 %
32 Moray 5.1% SNP SNP 14.6 %
33 Folkestone & Hythe 12.9% CON CON 24.1 %
34 Wokingham 13.7% CON CON 15.7 %
35 Edinburgh South 14% LAB LAB 0.9 %
36 Rochdale 14.3% LAB LD 1.1 %
37 Aldershot 14.6% CON CON 11.1 %
38 Leeds North West 12.3% LAB LD 4.2 %
39 Sussex Mid 15.1% CON CON 11.9 %
40 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale 12.1% LAB CON 3.9 %
41 Falmouth & Camborne 9.7% LAB LD 3.9 %
42 Colne Valley 9.9% LAB LAB 3.1 %
43 Woking 15.8% CON CON 14.4 %
44 Suffolk South 11.2% CON CON 13.6 %
45 Salisbury 16.5% CON CON 20.5 %
46 Devon East 17.1% CON CON 16.1 %
47 Cambridgeshire South East 17.3% CON CON 15.4 %
48 Cambridgeshire South 17.4% CON CON 15.2 %
49 Hampshire East 17.7% CON CON 10.4 %
50 Bournemouth West 14% CON CON 11.9 %
51 Hertfordshire South West 17.3% CON CON 16.9 %
52 Henley 19% CON CON 27.5 %
53 Chelmsford West 13% CON CON 18.8 %
54 Woodspring 18% CON CON 11.7 %
55 Solihull 19.5% CON LD 0.5 %
56 Gainsborough 19.1% CON CON 17.5 %
57 Poole 18.3% CON CON 14.8 %
58 Tewkesbury 19.2% CON CON 21.8 %
59 Cambridge 20% LAB LD 10.0 %
60 Worthing East & Shoreham 14.3% CON CON 18.4 %
61 Aylesbury 20.4% CON CON 21.5 %
62 Worthing West 20.9% CON CON 20.9 %
63 Blaydon 21.1% LAB LAB 13.7 %
64 Windsor 21.1% CON CON 23.6 %
65 Southend West 21.2% CON CON 22.5 %
66 Stratford-on-Avon 21.5% CON CON 20.9 %
67 Edinburgh North and Leith 21.6% LAB LAB 5.0 %
68 Mole Valley 21.6% CON CON 24.3 %
69 Leominster 22.2% CON CON 27.0 %
70 Norwich South 20.7% LAB LAB 8.7 %
71 Ribble Valley 22.9% CON CON 28.5 %
72 Chichester 22.9% CON CON 20.7 %
73 Bexhill & Battle 23.5% CON CON 28.7 %
74 Birmingham Perry Barr 23.4% LAB LAB 20.4 %
75 Surrey Heath 24% CON CON 22.7 %
76 Saffron Walden 24% CON CON 24.5 %
77 Hornsey & Wood Green 24.1% LAB LD 5.1 %
78 Tunbridge Wells 24.2% CON CON 23.5 %
79 Witney 16.2% CON CON 26.3 %
80 Congleton 15.8% CON CON 17.7 %
81 Conwy 18.1% LAB LAB 9.2 %
82 Devizes 22.3% CON CON 23.5 %
83 Hertford & Stortford 11.9% CON CON 26.4 %
84 Islington South & Finsbury 25.8% LAB LAB 1.6 %
85 Perth and North Perthshire 11% SNP SNP 3.3 %
86 Oxford East 26% LAB LAB 2.3 %
87 Epsom & Ewell 21.6% CON CON 33.0 %
88 Huntingdon 26.1% CON CON 24.5 %
89 Cotswold 26.1% CON CON 20.5 %
90 Wealden 26.1% CON CON 28.6 %
91 Chesham & Amersham 26.2% CON CON 29.3 %
92 Skipton & Ripon 26.3% CON CON 23.0 %
93 Hampstead & Highgate 22.2% LAB LAB 9.8 %
94 Esher & Walton 25.3% CON CON 16.1 %
95 St Helens South 26.6% LAB LAB 26.2 %
96 Reigate 20.3% CON CON 25.8 %
97 Reading East 12.8% LAB CON 1.1 %
98 Horsham 26.9% CON CON 23.2 %
99 Christchurch 27.3% CON CON 30.2 %