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PMQs row over Baby P

  • Nick
  • 12 Nov 08, 04:40 PM

A baby dies gruesomely, avoidably and in circumstances which people had dared to hope could never happen again. The speaker of the Commons is forced to intervene to calm tempers after the prime minister and the leader of the opposition engage in an angry clash. "Good grief" will, no doubt, be the reaction of many and "a plague on both their houses"

However, as the heat subsides a little, what light does today's PMQs exchange shine on the policy issues and the political positions of the two men?

David Cameron flanked by William Hague and Theresa May in House of CommonsDavid Cameron suggested that the Haringey inquiry into what went wrong was "completely unacceptable" since it was "being led by Mrs Shoesmith, who is the council's own director of children's services". Repeatedly he asked Gordon Brown, "Do you agree with me that she cannot possibly investigate the failure of her own department?"

The prime minister did not answer that question. He simply explained that the government was considering the local "serious case review" into what had gone wrong and Lord Laming - who carried out the Victoria Climbie inquiry - was looking at social service protection for children in every part of the country.

The problem arises because the director of children's services in Haringey is also the head of the Local Safeguarding Children Board which commissioned the report into the failures which led to Baby P's death. Whitehall guidelines state that "any report must be commissioned from a person who is independent of the agencies/professionals involved". It doesn't state that any report should be commissioned by someone independent. A statement is due from the children's secretary which I suspect will set up an independent enquiry.

What then of the politics?

Today's row was triggered by Gordon Brown accusing David Cameron of making a "party political" issue of the tragedy.

It's clear that David Cameron was much keener to talk about this case rather than about the topic pretty much everyone expected him to raise - the economy. Before PMQs began, he had written a piece for the London Evening Standard which they'd splashed on their front page. This may have been because he felt passionately about it. It may also have been because he wanted to avoid a debate about taxes and the case for a fiscal stimulus - a view that would have been reinforced by today's comments by the governor of the Bank of England which posed some very awkward questions for the Tories (see my earlier blog).

What's also clear is that Labour backbenchers were relishing the prospect of a political punch-up on the economy. That's why they shouted when the Tory leader chose another subject. That, perhaps, is what was in the prime minister's mind when he suggested that Cameron was playing politics.

My immediate reaction on the Daily Politics on BBC2 was to say that the prime minister had shown a "political tone-deafness" to the mood outside Westminster and that Mr Cameron probably could not believe his "political luck" that he managed to avoid talking about the economy. Labour's John Cruddas and the Lib Dems' Charles Kennedy - who were in the studio with me - agreed. Interestingly, some who were watching in the Commons gallery did not. They thought the Tory leader's visible loss of temper showed him in a very poor light.

Of course, beyond the Westminster village the public will demand that this story does not become a he says/she says row like those over Jennifer's ear or Rose Addis. If you don't remember them, don't worry. That makes my point.

UPDATE: 17:50: Things are moving fast.

No sooner had Gordon Brown defended the Haringey enquiry into the death of Baby P as "independently compiled and independently assessed" than Ed Balls appears to have ordered a review of the review. Ofsted, the Comission for Health Care Audit and the Chief Inspector of Constabulary will review Haringey Children's Services and report within a fortnight.

If it shows evidence of management failures Mr Balls has the power to take over the running of Children's Services in the borough - effectively replacing the entire management team. He does not have the power to sack individual staff.

Problem for the Tories

  • Nick
  • 12 Nov 08, 11:58 AM

The governor of the Bank of England has created a real problem for the Tories. This morning Mervyn King backed the idea of a fiscal stimulus - borrowing to raise spending or cut taxes - which the prime minister's been pushing and the Conservatives have portrayed as irresponsible.

Mervyn King"In these extraordinary circumstances it would be perfectly reasonable to see some use of fiscal stimulus" he said, before adding riders that two conditions should be met. One is that it will be temporary, purely temporary, and secondly is that it will be clear that there was a medium-term plan to bring tax spending back into the sustainable balance over the medium-term." He went on to explain why he backed the idea in the current circumstances. (See his full quote below.*)

Meantime, many Tories who agree with Messrs Cameron and Osborne on borrowing are criticising them for not promising spending cuts to pay for tax cuts.

Yesterday the shadow chancellor was asked to name a single politician around the world - right wing or left wing - who shared his position. He didn't. Anyone?

* Mervyn King said: "There are two changes which mean that in these circumstances it is reasonable to think about fiscal policy as a complement to monetary policy. One is... credit constraints on households which make fiscal policy likely to be more effective and secondly the fact that the transmission mechanism of monetary policy has been in part impaired through the banking crisis and it's precisely in those circumstances... that fiscal policy has
a role alongside monetary policy. But it still has to be temporary. And it still has to be consistent with a medium-term framework which shows a sustainable path for tax and spending. If not, the benefits can be lost in terms of higher long-term interest rates."

UPDATE: The Tories insist that Mervyn King's comments on a fiscal stimulus should be read as only limited and conditional support for Gordon Brown. They point to these comments by the Chief European Economist at CitiGroup, Michael Saunders who argues that "the governor opened a tentative door to nearterm fiscal stimulus, but hedged that around with ...quite careful conditions."

Saunders goes on "The governor is required to support government policy as long as it does not conflict with the inflation target. But, his comments lay down a marker that only very limited forms of fiscal stimulus would really get his support. It is a clever way of trying to constrain the scale of fiscal easing - and such constraints are important now that the government seems to be returning to a 1970s stance of favouring high budget deficits - without yet being in the awkward position of explicitly opposing the government's fiscal policy."

A view that is, interestingly, backed by the Guardian's economics editor.

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