Most of UK to feel warmer this week as sunshine continues

blue skies over a view across a bay with turquoise waters and a green hill in the distance across the bayImage source, BBC Weather Watchers / Appledore Liz
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Brilliant blue skies and sunshine will continue for most across the UK this week, with the weather remaining settled throughout.

Those of you on the Easter holidays couldn't have asked for a better week of weather.

Light winds mean it'll feel warmer for many that it did last week - though with the exception of coastal areas and temporarily in eastern parts of the country.

Rain doesn't feature in the forecast until later in the weekend and perhaps more substantially into the following week.

Temperatures rising again

You will have noticed this weekend that out of the sunshine there has been a distinct chill in the air.

The large area of high pressure that has dominated our weather may have brought us clear and sunny skies, but its position to the north of the UK has fed in chillier air from Scandinavia.

The strength of the breeze has added to the colder feel, especially along eastern-facing coasts where the wind has been blowing in off seas that are just 7C or 8C right now.

A shift in the centre of the high pressure southwards this week will mean lighter winds, and with long sunny days expected too the air will gradually warm up again.

Two temperature maps of the UK showing temperatures of 12 to 20 Celsius for most early in the week, and 15 to 22 Celsius later in the week.
Image caption,

Temperatures rise again this week under sunny skies

By Tuesday, parts of north and west Scotland and west Northern Ireland could see temperatures creep above 20C (68F) once more.

On Wednesday, while warm again for most with sunshine, some cloud will temporarily come into eastern Scotland and eastern England, with temperatures falling to a cooler 9-13C (48-55F).

Later in the week parts of England and Wales could see highs of 20-22C (68-72F), and with less of an easterly breeze, it won't be as cold as it has been on North Sea coasts.

A cautionary note for gardeners and growers though, while daytime temperatures climb well above the early April average of 10-13C (50-55F), the nights will still be chilly.

Many areas outside of town and city centres could be susceptible to a light frost early in the week.

How long will the dry and sunny weather last?

Tractor pulls machinery across a ploughed dry field, with lots of dust and dirt lifted into the air above.Image source, BBC WeatherWatchers/WorldsEndMark
Image caption,

The lack of rain has seen the top layers of the earth dry out following the wet winter

Sunny skies have of course meant very little rain has fallen recently across large swathes of the UK. Only 3-5mm (0.1-0.2in) of rain has fallen since the start of March at a number of locations across central and southern England, with some sites experiencing their driest March since at least 1961.

The lack of rainfall has resulted in an increased fire risk in each of the four nations. Wildfires have been tackled by firefighters on a daily basis

In Northern Ireland, a major incident was declared over the weekend as a huge wildfire took hold on the Mourne Mountains.

People and properties were evacuated in south-west Scotland as a wildfire spread over a large area of forest in Galloway.

The National Fire Chiefs Council (NFCC) advises against using disposable barbecues in the countryside and parks, and discarding things like cigarettes and glass bottles that can cause a fire to start.

A wildfire pictured at night in the Galloway Forest ParkImage source, Galloway Mountain Rescue
Image caption,

Wildfire spreads across the Galloway Forest Park on Friday night

While right at the limit of reasonable accuracy in the models, the next time we see any substantial rain will be around mid-April.

A quick scroll through your BBC Weather app highlights the likely change as a parade of sunshine symbols is replaced by occasional rainy ones.

However, the exact timing of rain and how much rain will fall is still a big question mark.

Easter washout or will sunshine hop back into view?

Road in the countryside leading to a property in the distance. On one side a tree full of white blossom, on the other bare trees and daffodils.Image source, BBC WeatherWatchers/Helena
Image caption,

The abundance of sunshine has brought on the spring blossom and blooms

As any UK meteorologist will tell you, snow is more likely to fall at Easter than it is at Christmas, although this is more accurate when Easter falls earlier on in the calendar.

Thankfully, snow looks unlikely this year, but in weather terms Easter is still too far away to pinpoint the exact details.

Some computer models continue with the changeable weather patterns that bring some sunny days interspersed with showery ones. However, some show the potential for another area of high pressure to build in from the north, bringing largely dry conditions again.

Don't forget to keep ahead of any Easter surprises with our Monthly Outlook.