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Final stop

  • Nick
  • 29 Mar 06, 11:59 PM

INDONESIA : It's Thursday, so it must be Jakarta - the last stop of this BlairAir tour. This morning in Auckland Tony Blair promised to strive to save the planet from climate change. This evening he embarks on a mission to save civilisation from Islamic extremism. No-one can say this boy lacks ambition.

Lest you think I'm sneering, allow me to point out that I'm merely quoting from the prime minister's recent speeches on terrorism - in particular one delivered in London a week ago which he believes was woefully under-reported. He may have a point.

It reveals that the next stage of Tony Blair's "war on terror" is not to be another military campaign but an ideological one designed to defeat the ideas of "Islamic extremism". To do this he wants to help create a "moderate Muslim" resistance to them.

If you sense an echo of the Cold War in this, you're not the only one. One senior government figure (and that's not code for the PM himself) has told me that all the tools of the state will have to be deployed to defeat the ideas of "Islamic extremists" much as they were in the battle with Communism.

The West desperately needs allies in this new battle of ideas. The PM has come to Jakarta because, we're told, it's "the right place, the right people, the right politics and the right time". In other words he wants to build strong links with the world's largest Muslim country now that's it's run by a directly elected president and not a dictator. He wants to add its leader to those of Pakistan and Turkey as members of a moderate Muslim coalition lined up against the "Islamic extremists".

Why you may wonder have I placed inverted commas around the words "Islamic extremist"?

I've done it to highlight a phrase the prime minister says he was advised to avoid since it might give offence to many ordinary Muslims. They believe that it focuses attention on the religion of the instigators of 9/11, Bali, 7/7 and all the rest rather than on their criminality. This advice, claimed Tony Blair, was part of the same thinking that argued that Muslims were bound to be react violently to the invasion of a Muslim country. It was, he said, all part of "a posture of weakness, defeatism and, most of all was deeply insulting to every Muslim who believes in freedom". Strong words.

He went on : "This terrorism will not be defeated until its ideas, the poison that warps the minds of its adherents, are confronted head-on, in their essence, at their core... This is not a clash between civilisations. It is a clash about civilisation. It is the age-old battle between progress and reaction".

That tells you why we're in Jakarta.

A plan to save the planet or more hot air ?

  • Nick
  • 29 Mar 06, 09:47 AM

NEW ZEALAND: Sailing around Auckland Harbour under a blue sky in the blistering sun, you could see why on this day and in this place Tony Blair expressed his wish that the climate would stay just as it it.

yacht.jpg
He and his wife Cherie celebrated their wedding anniversary with a tour on a luxury motor cruiser courtesy of a local millionaire publisher (Mr Blair is pictured right with his host and NZ PM Helen Clark). Hardly the sort of behaviour to win the approval of green campaigners but he hopes that they will approve of his call for a new international agreement to try to stop climate change.

The plan is simple enough :

  • An international agreement that must include all the major developed economies - the US in particular - as well as the key developing nations - starting with China and India
  • At its heart the goal of stabilising climate change and greenhouse gas emissions

Tony Blair insists that he's not abandoning or diluting the Kyoto agreement under which countries including Britain (but crucially not including America) agreed to meet targeted cuts in their greenhouse gas emissions.

But it's clear that he thinks there's no chance of chivvying, shaming or bullying the US - let alone China and India - to sign up. There is, he says, one self-evident truth - any deal that does not include those countries is pointless.

Yesterday in Australia - another country that refused to sign up to the Kyoto targets - the prime minister was told that even if they stopped ALL their greenhouse gas emissions tomorrow, China's dizzying economic growth would fill the gap in less than 10 months.

Why, though, should these countries even consider a new deal? In America's case, Tony Blair's counting on worries about energy security - that is, the US's desire to end its dependence on oil from unstable parts of the globes. In China and India's case, he hopes that fear of deadly pollution will do the trick.

The rhetoric was ambitious today. Sceptics will point out that it comes the day after the government had to admit to being off target for CO2 emissions. Others will say that Tony Blair's caved in to the Americans. If he achieves what he set out today they may be silenced.

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