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| Europe fluffs its leadership ![]() Look how fast my economy is growing Sometimes, taking candy from a baby is trickier than it looks. In the aftermath of 11 September, Europe had the chance to become the world's economic superpower - and blew it royally. Europe has suffered no crippling terrorist attack, borne only a fraction of the burden of military response, endured no hi-tech meltdown (largely because it had no hi-tech sector in the first place) and remained immune to this year's wave of accounting scandals.
Growth has stalled, stock markets have lagged Wall Street, the euro's rebound has lost momentum - and political and economic relations with the US have rarely been worse. Nothing changed Defying the well-worn maxim that "after 11 September, everything changed," Europe's economy looks pretty familiar. During the late 1990s, as the US surfed on a wave of hi-tech optimism, Europe was derided for its rust-belt industries and grudging attitude to economic reform.
Economic growth in the eurozone, which flickered into some sort of life a year ago, has now subsided below 0.5%. Unemployment, Europe's economic Achilles' heel, has crept ever higher, and in Germany refuses to stay below a hefty 4 million. Without the excuse of internet collapses, 11 September or Enron, the Continent's stock markets have underperformed even the Dow. ![]() Feeling America's pain The question is whether things could have been any different. To a certain extent, Europe has been the victim of circumstances. Although many like to think that Europe gains when the US loses, America's travails in the past year have spelt bad news for the eurozone economy. As American companies pulled in their horns, investment in their preferred foreign market - Europe - shrivelled away. Consumers, an increasingly powerful motor of the European economy, have proved just as skittish on this side of the Atlantic as in the US. And the fact that the terror attacks were directed at the US did not make Europe immune from the financial paralysis of the post-attack months. Bad behaviour But Europe has done itself few favours. Interest rates, which have been halved in the US since 11 September, have been cut by less than one-quarter by a grudging European Central Bank.
Most damaging of all - and to be fair, not something Brussels can entirely be blamed for - has been the alarming deterioration in relations with Washington. Although tolerably staunch allies on the battlefield, Europe and US seem to be taking out their frustrations in the boardroom. Tit for tat Just before 11 September, Europe's increasingly pugnacious competition authorities vetoed a merger between two US firms, Honeywell and General Electric.
At the same time, Mr Bush signed into law the biggest package of farm subsidies in US history, an act that Brussels condemns as naked protectionism. Behind both sides' positions lies a pile of ideological baggage: the US sees Europeans as hypocritical whiners; Europeans are increasingly vocal about American cultural imperialism. Time for a change So what are the prospects for Europe? Economies are continuing to slow: the latest data out of Germany, by far the region's biggest, shows troubling signs of a "double-dip" recession, dipping back into the slump it escaped from earlier this year.
One factor might shake-up the status quo, however. The French election saw a shift to a right-of-centre regime; according to the latest opinion polls, Germany's - due in late September - may do the same. The new French government is still feeling its way, and the hopeful German opposition is being careful as the election approaches, but both promise a substantial change of direction. Of course neither may end up doing much to stimulate the European economy. But a change - of almost any kind - is just what Europe needs. |
See also: 15 Jul 02 | Business 21 Jun 02 | Business 10 Jun 02 | Business 22 May 02 | Americas 12 Apr 02 | Business 02 May 02 | Business 14 Jan 02 | Business Internet links: The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites Top September 11 one year on stories now: Links to more September 11 one year on stories are at the foot of the page. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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