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| Monday, 3 February, 2003, 15:03 GMT Analysis: Germany's lonely leader ![]() Lonely at the top: Schroeder has lost support
The Social Democrats' crushing defeat in Sunday's regional elections was a clear signal from the voters that they are angry with Gerhard Schroeder. Angry about Germany's growing unemployment, its stagnant economy and the government's apparent failure to do anything about it. But the humiliating election results also weaken the Chancellor within his own party. They were a reflection on his policies and his leadership. The response by the German press is broadly that the Schroeder government got what it deserved: a slap in the face after four ineffective months back in power. Broken election promises were also punished - tax rises, failure to reduce unemployment and delays in the modernising reforms long-awaited by German business. Chancellor Schroeder says he will not resign over Sunday's miserable results, but he must take some decisive political action. But Sunday's defeats mean it is harder for the government to get laws passed without backing from the opposition Christian Democrats.
Paradoxically, though, a de facto "grand coalition" with the conservatives could offer the government a way forward in its so-far-botched reform programme. The Christian Democrats are more likely than many members of Chancellor Schroeder's own Social Democrat Party to support the government�s "modernising" reforms - such as the shake-up of the labour market. Mr Schroeder says he will seek their co-operation from now on. But what will be the price of such support? We could see a scenario in German politics where only the most conservative policies of Chancellor Schroeder's centre-left government are passed. Iraq question There is, however, one issue where Gerhard Schroeder is likely to remain inflexible. And that is his outspoken opposition to a war against Iraq. It may not have been enough to divert regional voters' attention from his poor domestic record but this is one policy where the chancellor is in perfect tune with his voters. Watch out for a key session of the United Nations Security Council this Wednesday though. If the United States presents enough evidence of Iraqi weapons to convince a majority to back a military strike, Germany's anti-war position may become untenable. Should Germany still vote "No" or abstains in a Security Council vote, and if France decides to break ranks with Germany and vote "Yes", then Mr Schroeder's international isolation would be total. This is indeed a lonely chancellor: abandoned by the voters, isolated from many international allies and German conservative politicians over his anti-war stance - and the crushing election defeat will not endear him either to many members of his own Social Democrat party. |
See also: 03 Feb 03 | Europe 03 Feb 03 | Media reports 03 Feb 03 | Business 08 Jan 03 | Europe 08 Jan 03 | Business 11 Dec 02 | Europe 12 Nov 02 | Entertainment 07 Dec 02 | Europe Internet links: The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites Top Europe stories now: Links to more Europe stories are at the foot of the page. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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