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Friday, 28 June, 2002, 18:40 GMT 19:40 UK
Bolivia's election hopefuls promise reform
Presidential candidates Jaime Paz Zamora, left, Manfred Villa, centre, and Gonzalo Sanchez de Lozada, right, participate in a debate in La Paz
Manfred Reyes Villa (c) is only one of 11 candidates

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Corruption, cocaine and free market economics are the three big issues dominating Bolivia in the run-up to Sunday's presidential and congressional elections.

Bolivians have enjoyed political stability since 1982, in sharp contrast to the 189 coups they have endured since independence from Spain in the early 19th century.

But democracy has brought little relief for the poor Indian majority, most of whom live high up in the Andes.

Bolivia remains firmly at the bottom of the South American poverty league.

'No more of the same'

Leading the polls is a former military captain and mayor, Manfred Reyes Villa, whose main promise to the country's four million voters has been "no more of the same".

Indigenous Indians in Bolivia
Bolivia has a largely indigenous population
Mr Reyes blames what he says is the corruption of past governments, including those of his two main rivals, "Goni" S�nchez de Lozada, president from 1993-7, and Jaime Paz Zamora, president from 1989-93.

Both Mr S�nchez de Lozada, a rich businessman, and Mr Paz Zamora, a social democrat, followed a version of "Andean Thatcherism".

The policy was successful in bringing down inflation from 24,000% in 1985, when Bolivians carried their wages around in brown paper bags.

Supporters of the reforms say it brought economic stability, while critics say it only stabilised poverty and benefited too few.

Improved transport

All 11 presidential candidates advocate some tinkering with the free market policies, although they differ in how much.

Mr Reyes wants more state investment in agriculture, while Mr S�nchez de Lozada promises "jobs, jobs, and more jobs", particularly by building roads - a popular move in a country the size of France and Spain combined which has no more than a handful of paved roads.

Evo Morales
The United States has spoken out against Evo Morales
Several presidential hopefuls want to take advantage of the popular discontent with the market reforms dominant throughout the region in the 1980s and 1990s.

Leading the pack is Evo Morales, a high profile leader of farmers who grow coca, the raw material for cocaine.

Morales� campaign received a healthy boost when the US ambassador in Bolivia, Manuel Rocha, warned that Washington could cut off aid if Bolivians chose candidates like Morales.

His comments were widely condemned as interfering with the elections, but they bolstered Morales� standing as a radical anti-US candidate.

Political horse trading

The United States gives more than $100m a year to Bolivia in exchange for coca eradication.

Historically, Bolivia has been one of the world�s three leading growers of coca, but in the last five years, more than 50,000 hectares have been destroyed under huge US pressure.

Ironically, its success has made the economy more fragile, as coca brought in hundreds of millions of dollars a year, and provided plenty of jobs.

If no candidate wins more than 50% of the vote, the new members of Congress decide who will be the next president.

In the past, this has meant horse trading - and unusual outcomes. Former dictator Hugo Banzer won the popular vote in 1985 and 1989, but lost out in the deals in Congress.

He finally emerged as winner in 1997, but had to resign after being diagnosed with cancer last year. He died in May.

It is the horse trading and politicians� lack of credibility which prompted the normally cautious Bolivian churches to make an unprecedented warning about Bolivia�s fragile democracy.

They criticised the daily poverty, insecurity and corruption, and warned that "if things go on as they are, and if we vote without thinking, we will be jointly responsible for the destruction of democracy".

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 ON THIS STORY
News image The BBC's Peter Greste
"Nobody is likely to win outright victory"
See also:

29 Jun 02 | Americas
20 Dec 00 | Americas
05 May 02 | Americas
28 Mar 02 | Country profiles
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