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Why statistics are the best guide to predicting the winners in the World Cup. Our guest Chris Anderson, author of The Numbers Game: Why Everything You Know About Football is Wrong, tells us that too many people, including football club managers, wrongly trust their gut rather than the numbers. Plus, BBC correspondents Evan Davies and Katy Watson report on why this is not just a big sporting moment for the World Cup's host country Brazil, it's also showtime for the country's economy.
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