A tricky local forecast this weekend...

What a decidedly pesky forecast this is proving - especially at a local level.

There's much riding on getting things right, or at least thereabouts.

Take, for example, the Bridgwater Carnival this evening; innumerable fireworks displays being held over three evenings across our region; and the not-too-small matter of an FA Cup 1st Round match being played at Paulton Rovers, as they take on Norwich City.

So no pressure there, then. 

But for this evening at least, so far, so good...

I highlighted today on BBC Points West and local radio what I dubbed a 'window of opportunity' for a while this evening, for holding outdoor events free of inclement weather. Effectively, a spell of dry or largely dry weather prevailing for the first part of the evening, after we'd lost that band of light to moderate rainfall from earlier this afternoon

But I also stressed that some heavy, squally showers would emerge later from the west - especially after 9pm.

As it happens, this risk of heavier rainfall has manifested itself almost exactly on-cue as a line of quite conspicuous organisation - and yes, even weather can be 'organised' - showing well on the regional rainfall radar (see above). Further showers will now follow through tonight, perhaps accompanied by a flash or two of lightning, especially for those districts of Somerset bordering the Bristol Channel.

Tomorrow, we witness a potential footballing upset - and perhaps another noteworthy Delia Smith outburst - unfolding as Paulton Rovers take-on Norwich City. I'm expecting a sunny, dry but distinctly autumnal feel to the weather at kick-off (12.45pm), with the very real chance of squally showers arriving as the match continues, especially towards the end.

We have a brand-new Points West Saturday bulletin starting tomorrow at 12.15pm, so I'll update your weather prospects during that inaugural bulletin... oh yes, just ahead of the Paulton kick-off. 

Pressure... what pressure?