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| Thursday, 23 January, 2003, 09:50 GMT No festive slowdown on High Street ![]() The post-Christmas sales got off to a flying start Fears of a consumer slowdown over Christmas and New Year appear to have been blown away by official retail sales figures.
The figures are stronger than even the most optimistic City forecasts - and sharply at odds with surveys from the British Retail Consortium and bosses group CBI. The ONS figures cover a slightly longer period than the other surveys, suggesting the post-Christmas sales got off to a very strong start. But the figures will still cast doubt on doubt on whether consumers are easing off on spending. The volume of sales may be up sharply, but the value of sales is growing slower, which suggests that consumers are getting cannier and shop for bargains. And economists say they might mean interest rates stay on hold for some months to come, as opposed to falling. An 'incredible surge' "It's certainly very different to what markets were expecting but given the difficulties in seasonal adjustment around Christmas, there was a risk there could be a marked difference from consensus," said George Buckley, an analysts at Deutsche Bank. "It's true to say consumers are not as weak as some of the surveys were suggesting but because of the seasonal adjustment, I would not also be surprised to see a heavy fall in January." David Page of Investec described the figures as an "absolutely incredible surge". He added: "This comes as a big surprise and begs the question - where is the consumer slowdown? "The Bank (of England) will be looking at the data for the January period as well but it does reduce expectations of an interest rate cut soon." |
See also: 22 Jan 03 | Business 22 Jan 03 | Scotland 14 Jan 03 | Business Internet links: The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites Top Business stories now: Links to more Business stories are at the foot of the page. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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