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| Sunday, 29 December, 2002, 21:29 GMT Analysis: Kenya's new democratic mood ![]() A new mood of optimism in Kenya
It has taken a while to sink in. Like lottery winners unable to believe their luck, Kenyans have spent much of the last 24 hours in a daze - hardly daring to celebrate an election that has turned their entire political establishment on its head. "I'm just waiting for the army to come and stop all this," joked one of President-elect Mwai Kibaki's aides - giddily savouring the once unimaginable idea that the Kanu government's 39-year stranglehold on power was about to end. And end peacefully. Now, of course, the celebrations have started in earnest.
It has been 11 years since President Moi reluctantly accepted multi-party politics in his east African fiefdom - but for many Kenyans, today may well be the first time it has really felt like a true democracy. There have been years of noisy public debate, and endless, ever-changing new opposition parties and alliances.
But they have never seriously shaken Kanu's monopoly on power - it has tentacles extending into every branch of the state. And now, Kanu lies in virtual ruins. Its young presidential candidate, Uhuru Kenyatta, comprehensively beaten, its slim parliamentary majority wiped out. Almost every cabinet minister has lost his seat. Frustration All this feels a bit like a revolution. In some senses it is. A peaceful, democratic transition is something that few African countries take for granted - now a vital precedent has been set for Kenya, and for a wider region riddled with failing and war-torn states. What Kenyans have done is to vent their frustration with Kanu and President Moi. The result is a symbolic two-fingered salute to Mr Moi's system of patronage, tribal division and corruption which has turned the state into little more than a parasitic obstacle to economic prosperity. But will the new government be able to stop the rot? 'Broken dreams' Critics point out that the National Rainbow Coalition is packed with old Kanu faces canny enough to have deserted a sinking ship.
It is true that the jumble of egos, agendas and parties making up the new alliance will not fit easily into a coherent government. However, Mr Kibaki's team will be under enormous public pressure to make good on its campaign promises, to root out corruption, and to brush away the last cobwebs of Kanu's smug, monolithic rule. One newspaper columnist observed that Kibaki now has "our broken dreams" in his "back pocket". New mood There can be no quick fix for the poverty, neglect and decaying infrastructure which Mr Moi has bequeathed the incoming government. And the elation of today may quickly turn to frustration for many Kenyans. But there is a new mood of optimism in this country now. Kenyans have survived despite their government for so long. Even a slight improvement by the new team could unlock huge potential. An early test of the new government - and another critical rite of passage for the country - will come in perhaps three months, by which time Narc has pledged to wrap up a review of Kenya's outdated constitution. |
See also: 29 Dec 02 | Africa 29 Dec 02 | Media reports 29 Dec 02 | Business Internet links: The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites Top Africa stories now: Links to more Africa stories are at the foot of the page. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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