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Last Updated: Friday, 16 December 2005, 11:31 GMT
Boost for German recovery hopes
Frankfurt skyline
The index points to a bright year ahead for Germany's economy
German business confidence is at its highest level for nearly five and a half years, according to a survey.

Research group Ifo's December survey of 7,000 firms saw its business climate index beat forecasts, rising to 99.6, up from 97.8 in November.

Firms in the manufacturing, wholesale, retail and construction sectors all reported an improved business climate.

Despite a slight fall last month, the index has risen steadily since late Spring.

It is now at its highest level since hitting 100 in August 2000.

'Weakest link'

Ifo said that business confidence had been helped by the European Central Bank's message that the recent interest rate rise, the first since 2000, was a one-off.

"The stronger than expected surge in the Ifo business sentiment indicator is a great boost for recovery expectations and a positive sign that stronger growth it finally coming back on track," said Bear Stearns economist David Brown.

"The weakest link in the German recovery remains the German consumer and it is still going to take a while for improved business confidence and stronger employment trends to percolate down into stronger consumer demand."

Germany's chronic high unemployment problems are getting better, but the jobless rate still stands at 10.9%.

The German government predicts the economy will grow by 0.8% this year, rising to 1.2% in 2006.

Much of the growth comes from the country's booming export markets, particularly in the Far East.

In September it reported a bumper 14.8bn euro ($17bn; �10bn) trade surplus.


SEE ALSO:
German business confidence dented
24 Nov 05 |  Business
Optimism up at German companies
25 Oct 05 |  Business
Q&A: ECB interest rate rise
01 Dec 05 |  Business
German industrial output surges
08 Dec 05 |  Business
German consumers more optimistic
27 Oct 05 |  Business
Weak euro lifts German confidence
27 Jun 05 |  Business


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