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Last Updated: Monday, 27 June, 2005, 11:10 GMT 12:10 UK
Weak euro lifts German confidence
Shoppers in Bonn, Germany
The retail sector has shown signs of recovery
German business confidence has improved for the first time in five months, following recent falls in the euro.

Research institute Ifo said its business index rose to 93.3 points from 92.9 points in May.

The retail sector index hit its highest level since October 2003. Construction was the only sector not to improve.

The weakening euro had proved to be good news for exports, analysts said, adding that news of a September general election had also improved confidence.

The latest rise in (oil) prices has probably not yet been fully reflected in the Ifo index, therefore there is the risk of a fall in the next few months
Juergen Michels, Citigroup

The euro has fallen by about 11% since the beginning of the year. By Monday, it was trading close to the $1.20 level - approximately four cents lower than at the time of the previous Ifo survey.

Oil drag

However, the research institute said it was "too early" to say whether the country's economy was set to pick up in coming months.

Analysts warned rising oil prices could affect confidence in coming months, as the survey was carried out in early June yet crude only broke through the $60 a barrel level at the weekend.

"The oil price is still a drag for the economy - for both exports and domestic demand," said Juergen Michels at Citigroup.

"The latest rise in prices has probably not yet been fully reflected in the Ifo index, therefore there is the risk of a fall in the next few months."


SEE ALSO:
German confidence at two-year low
26 May 05 |  Business
German investor confidence falls
24 May 05 |  Business
German jobless rate in shock dip
28 Apr 05 |  Business
German growth outlook 'not good'
26 Apr 05 |  Business


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