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 Thursday, 5 December, 2002, 17:29 GMT
Euro rates slashed to boost growth
Eurozone interest rates
Mounting fears over the sluggish eurozone economy have prompted the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut its key interest rate by a hefty half-point, to 2.75%.

The move follows more than a year of ECB inaction on rates, despite cuts enacted by other major central banks.

Europe's economy has shown increasing signs of stagnation, but the ECB has kept rates high to fight inflation, which has remained persistently high.

Despite the ECB's refusal to help boost eurozone growth, a half-point cut this time had been widely predicted by analysts.

Markets cheer

The cut was also seen as likely to help buoy financial markets, as the single currency has come under pressure over fears that the eurozone economy might fall behind a resurgent US.

Most European stock markets jumped by 1-2% in the minutes after the decision, but the euro sagged slightly against the dollar, remaining below parity with the US currency.

"I think in the short run it's going to be positive for the euro," said Rob Hayward, senior forex analyst at ABN Amro.

"People will be thinking about its effect on economic growth; the belief will be that the ECB is acting fairly decisively and I think that will be slightly positive.

"If you look a further out then the positive effect is going to wane rather swiftly."

Slowdown

The decision to cut rates sharply appears controversial in light of recent inflation figures, which showed that eurozone consumer prices were still growing much faster than the ECB's target.

Wim Duisenberg
Wim Duisenberg sees "downside" risks

But ECB president Wim Duisenberg told the European Parliament on Tuesday that inflationary pressures were "easing" and that the risks "on the downside" of a further recession was increasing.

In a statement after the rate decision, the ECB governing council said that "the evidence that inflationary pressures are easing has increased, owing in particular to the sluggish economic expansion.

"Furthermore, downside risks to economic growth have not vanished."

Europe is still far from being in an official recession, but its biggest economy, Germany, is teetering on the brink.

Fears of a genuine slowdown have been heightened in recent months by Germany's worsening budget position, which is leading to government spending cuts and, potentially, widespread tax increases.

Berlin welcome

As a result, the decisive rate cut has pleased the German Government.

Berlin has been lobbying hard for an ECB rate cut since the summer.

"Of course I am pleased that the ECB has lowered rates," said German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder.

"I believe this will contribute to a revival of economic activity not only in Germany but across Europe."

But since interest rates generally take about six months to have any serious effect on economic performance, any stimulus may arrive too late to save the German Government from the need to raise taxes.

  WATCH/LISTEN
  ON THIS STORY
  Philip Lane, Centre for Economic Policy Research
"The ECB is super-cautious, but better late than never."
  Torsten Wack, European businessman
"Why should I invest when the German government is telling me to save my money for taxes?"
See also:

04 Dec 02 | Business
04 Dec 02 | Business
02 Dec 02 | Business
18 Nov 02 | Business
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