Male, grey hair, green top: If you had a dice, an ordinary dice and you threw it, well the probability of getting a one would be six to one.
Male, yellow and grey t-shirt: Like with a coin, flip it with heads or tails, you get 50/50 each way.
Male, bald head, green t-shirt: The probability of winning the lottery is 14,000,000 to one.
Male cafe worker, brown hair, blue and white apron: Well it's been a lovely day today, so there's a high probability that we're gonna sell a lot of salads.
If it had been a colder day, then it's more likely that I'd sell warmer dishes.
Male, grey jacket, white shirt: If we were to print 20,000 of these flyers, we know that there's a probability of a 2% response rate.
And so then, we know that from 20,000, 2% of 20,000, 400 people are gonna respond.
So, our client can then use that as a gauge to manage the influx of new clientele coming to their business.
Probability calculates the chance of something happening in the future and is measured in per cent (%). It is regularly used to predict the weather. For example, 'I predict that there is a 50% chance of rain tomorrow'.
Quick tips for tutors
Probability includes:
- Recognising the different ways of putting a number to chance events
- Calculating probabilities of events
- Ordering events by probability
- Practising putting a number to chance events
Downloadable Factsheets
Entry 1 & 2 - What is probability?
An introduction to probability
Entry 1 & 2 - Probability words
An introduction to probability words.
Entry 3 - How certain?
How mathematics can give a probability or likelihood answer to events that are not certain in a mathematical way
Level 1 - Fractions, decimals and percentages
How to write probabilities using fractions, decimals and percentages, and how to convert from one to another
Level 1 - The probability scale
How to add likely and unlikely events to a probability scale
Level 1 - What is probability?
Explains what probability means, and looks at how the probability scale works
Level 1 - Working out the probability: rolling a dice
How to work out the probability of getting a number at the roll of a dice
Downloadable Worksheets
Entry 1 & 2 - Probability statements
Match the correct probability statement to the matching image.
Entry 3 - Ordering chances
The ordering chances task helps you to decide the probability of events happening and place them onto a probability scale
Entry 3 - Putting a number to chance
The putting a number to chance task looks at the best ways to work out the probability of a particular event.
Level 1 - Investigate weather forecasts
The investigate weather forecasts experiment looks at how to work out the probability of the weather forecast being right.
Level 1 - Pack of cards
Questions to test your ability to work out the probability of picking specific cards from a pack of playing cards.
Level 1 - Probability scale
A probability scale task for you to decide where specific events should be placed on the probability scale.
Level 1 - Investigate flipping a coin
The investigate flipping a coin experiment looks at what will happen if you toss a coin many times - will you get heads half the time, and tails half the time?
