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28 October 2014
BBC Bristol: The website that loves Bristol: Weather with Richard Angwin

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X is for 'X'-rated weather
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by Richard Angwin
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Stormy seas smashing up against cliffs - Photo by Brian MorganTHIS STORY LAST UPDATED:
07 May 2003 1701 BST


We think of our weather in this ‘green and pleasant land’ as being generally benign - not too hot, not too cold, nothing too extreme. But it is not always like that.
Expect more stormy weather in the next century
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Tornadoes, blizzards, hurricanes and thunderstorms are either rare or non-existent in the UK so we don’t really need to worry about these X-rated types of weather - or do we?

Our climate is changing. It has never remained the same. Ice ages come and go as the continents move around, as solar activity changes and as the Earth wobbles on its axis. The only area of doubt is how much we are adding to those changes through the burning of fossil fuels and the production of CFCs and other ozone-destroying gases.

There no doubting the change in our climate when you consider that the 1990s was the warmest decade in the last 1000 years and that the six warmest years in the UK since 1659 have happened since 1990. And if you put more energy - in the form of heat - into the climate system you will tend to get more out.

In theory, whilst we may not see hurricanes in the West in the next century, there a good chance that our depressions will become more vigorous. Tornadoes may still be rare, but they will become a slightly more frequent occurrence.

What could be a bigger problem for us is the risk of inundation from the sea. Melting glaciers and the thermal expansion of sea water will cause sea levels to rise by maybe half a metre - enough to make the flooding problems around the Somerset Levels and Severn Estuary even worse than they are at present - a scary thought isn’t it?

There is no doubt that our weather will get wilder as global warming continues apace through the next century. X-rated weather indeed.

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