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Last Updated: Tuesday, 13 February 2007, 06:55 GMT
Buy-to-let boom 'may have peaked'
Estate agents' signs outside apartment block
The study found many see property as a safe, long-term investment
The buy-to-let boom in Northern Ireland may have reached its peak, according to a new report.

The rapid growth of the private rented sector is the focus of a new study led by University of Ulster.

The study found more small-scale landlords are buying into the market, but warned some could suffer from sudden changes in economic conditions.

Built Environment lecturer Paddy Gray said there was "evidence of increasing numbers of vacant properties".

"By 2004 there were over 12,000 vacant properties, bringing the total number of private rented properties to 75,000," he said.

The research suggests a number of factors have encouraged the view that property is a safe, long-term investment.

Planned reform of the housing benefit system, with housing benefit paid directly to the tenant, is causing concern for many landlords
Paddy Gray
University of Ulster
These include poor performance of pension plans, availability of buy-to-let mortgages, rising house prices and low interest rates.

But they warned that half of landlords had loan-to-value ratios - the amount of money a bank or building society will lend you as a percentage of a property's value - of 76% or more.

The researchers said this could leave them vulnerable to interest rate increases or periods of vacancy, which might mean an unsustainable investment.

"Planned reform of the housing benefit system, with housing benefit paid directly to the tenant, is causing concern for many landlords, and increases uncertainty in the sector," Mr Gray said.

"There is a fear that these changes could lead to landlords with housing benefit tenants exiting the sector or letting to non-housing benefit tenants.

"This scenario may have serious consequences for the Northern Ireland Housing Executive, as these tenants would be forced to seek accommodation in the social sector."

He said this risk should not be exaggerated as most landlords also indicated that they would not sell-up even if they were making a loss.

Mr Gray's research colleagues were Professor Paddy Hillyard of Queen's University and Ursula McAnulty of the University of Ulster.

Last week, the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors said house prices in Northern Ireland have risen more than anywhere else in Europe.


SEE ALSO
Price rise 'top in Europe market'
07 Feb 07 |  Northern Ireland
NI house prices rising by a third
05 Dec 06 |  Northern Ireland
House prices rise by �600 a week
05 Jun 06 |  Northern Ireland
Record rise in price of NI houses
03 Mar 06 |  Northern Ireland
House buyers 'must save longer'
08 Dec 04 |  Northern Ireland

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