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Wednesday, 27 March, 2002, 11:41 GMT
Humans 'alone' in universe
Concentration of galaxies
Earth is about 4.5 billion years old
The hunt for intelligent life in space is likely to prove fruitless, according to a scientist from the University of East Anglia in Norwich.

Professor Andrew Watson says his statistical and environmental research leads him to the conclusion that humans are alone in the universe.

But although intelligent life "out there" is unlikely, he believes there is a good chance of finding bacterial life on other planets.

Professor Watson told BBC News Online that in geological time Earth, which is about 4.5 billion years old, is towards the end of its life cycle, but multi-cell organisms only developed 0.9 billion years ago.

'Low' chance

"When you look at it mathematically and statistically the chances of complex life developing is extremely low.

"We have good reason to believe that Earth is not a typical planet.

"The sun's output has increased so much over time that we might expect life to have died out.

"But the Earth has adapted by altering the atmosphere around it.


Structurally complex life, particularly sentient beings, are very rare

Professor Andrew Watson

"I think we can conclude from this that we are probably effectively alone in the universe."

He said complex organisms took a long time to develop on Earth, not appearing until a good fraction "through the likely lifespan of the planet".

"This is consistent with the notion that structurally complex life, particularly sentient beings, are very rare - and most planets never reach that stage of evolution," said Professor Watson.

"On the rare occasions when sentient life does arise, it will almost always find itself awakening towards the end of the life of the biosphere in which it has arisen."

Bacteria evolve

He said there was more hope of finding bacterial life.

"We know that simple life was established on Earth probably as soon as it became habitable.

"This suggests that bacteria evolve relatively easily from inorganic matter, or that they were 'seeded' from elsewhere.

"In either case, it is reasonable to assume this could also have happened on other planets."

Professor Watson believes planets such as Mars, which once had water on its surface, may well have had some simple life forms such as bacteria.


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See also:

15 Aug 01 | Sci/Tech
Life from space dust?
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