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| Monday, 4 February, 2002, 12:48 GMT Could the UK cope with smallpox? ![]() The film traces the course of a fictional smallpox attack In researching a documentary-drama about a single act of bioterrorism leading to a worldwide smallpox epidemic, the programme-makers uncovered sobering truths about the UK's preparedness. Since 11 September and the subsequent anthrax scares, the prospect of bioterrorists unleashing a lethal disease can no longer be dismissed as mere science fiction.
In researching the film, its makers discovered how low the UK's vaccine stocks are compared with the United States. As bioterror panic gripped the world after the 11 September attacks, the US Government stepped up its order of smallpox vaccines so as to have a dose for every American.
That figure was based on 25 doses in each of the 146,000 vials thought to be held. At best, these vials could yield up to 100 doses each, providing almost 15m doses. Although the Health Secretary Alan Milburn has signed an agreement with the Americans and others to share vaccines in an emergency, the UK has not brought in further supplies. No immunity Smallpox kills a third of those it infects. There is no cure and nearly everyone is susceptible.
As a direct result of its eradication - after which the virus was kept in just two laboratories, one in the US and one in Russia - smallpox has re-emerged as a potential threat. In 1992 a Soviet defector, Dr Ken Alibek, revealed to American officials that he had overseen an illegal programme to develop the disease into an effective biological weapon.
The film is made in collaboration with bioweapons experts, public health officials and survivors of the last major smallpox outbreak in Yugoslavia in 1972, and aims to raise awareness of the need to prepare for such an attack. Preview writers have compared it to the seminal 1980s dramatisations of nuclear holocaust - Threads and When the Wind Blows. 'Alarmist tale' Producer Simon Chinn says nothing seen on the news recently compares with the devastation a smallpox attack could bring. Although the risk of such an attack is low, experts and policy makers keep coming back to the thorny question of whether we could cope with such an outbreak. ![]() Is Smallpox 2002 alarmist or a wake-up call? Among those who recognised that the film could serve as a graphic message to policymakers worldwide was Donald Ainslie Henderson, who led the WHO's eradication campaign in the 1970s and has since been appointed the US Government's chief public health adviser on bioterror. It is his advice that underpins much of the science behind the film.
Other scientists have said that the film is alarmist and exaggerates the dangers of a biological attack. Nevertheless, recent events have given the docu-drama an immediacy the filmmakers never envisaged when they started their research two years ago. Smallpox 2002: Silent Weapon will screen in the UK on BBC TWO at 2100GMT, Tuesday, 5 February. | See also: Internet links: The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites Top UK stories now: Links to more UK stories are at the foot of the page. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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