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South Asia specialist Deepa Ollypally
"India is seen as a stronger ally"
 real 28k

US-India Business Council's Michael Clark
"We are seeing the beginnings of an Indian lobby in US"
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Tuesday, 12 September, 2000, 15:35 GMT 16:35 UK
The US and India: Moving closer
President Clinton in INdia
Mr Clinton's visit emphasised the importance of ties
By Jeff Phillips in Washington

The visit to the United States by Indian Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee will only add to the impression that bilateral relations have been among the busiest in recent months - indeed since President Clinton's visit to India in March.

That visit made clear that Washington's most important relationship in South Asia is now with India.

Indian prime minister
Prime Minister Vajpayee: Wants to keep some issues low
In the years since the end of the Cold War, Pakistan and India were seen as twin planets orbiting each other - policy towards one seen in terms of its impact on relations with the other.

That has now changed.

The relationship with India is becoming institutionalised with the day-to-day issues of economics, business, health and investment taking their place among the more high-profile concerns over nuclear weapons and a settlement for Kashmir.

Kashmir concerns

Reports from Delhi suggest that Mr Vajpayee is keen to keep the last two low on the Washington agenda.

If this is true, it is unrealistic.

President Clinton himself has described Kashmir as the "most dangerous place on earth".

Indian artillery
Kashmir conflict: A growing source of concern
The possibility of confrontation between India and Pakistan spinning out of control and one side or the other resorting to nuclear weapons is taken seriously in Washington.

The US imposed economic and military sanctions on India (and Pakistan) when it carried out its nuclear test in May 1998, and has since pressed both countries to sign the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty - but to no avail.

And while the president "will not embarrass his guest by criticising India openly, they will be major points of concern behind closed doors," says Teresita Schaffer, a former ambassador in South Asia.

Nor is progress on nuclear weapons expected this time round.

"The Americans are bound to raise it - it's an obsession of theirs," says Stephen Cohen, a South Asia specialist at Brookings Institution.

"But I don't foresee the visit changing anyone's mind."

Dr Cohen says "nuclear disarmament is not an option in South Asia."

American efforts, he argues, would be better spent trying to prevent further proliferation of nuclear materials.

Business interests

If anything does come out of Mr Vajpayee's visit it is likely to be in business and trade.


"Business is where most of the action is going to be"

Former ambassador Teresita Schaffer
"Business is where most of the action is going to be," says Teresita Schaffer.

India's economy is now growing at 6% to 7% a year, one of the fastest in the world.

And while foreign investors are still looking for more liberalisation and cutting of Indian red tape, there is a growing sense among American companies that opportunity is in the offing.

Some 500,000 Indians have gone to the US over the past 20 years - many of them into the information technology sector.

Indians dominate much of the software industry, with companies like Sun Microsystems, Hotmail and Cirrus Logic founded or lead by Indians.

Expatriates

A growing number of Indian-American entrepreneurs are beginning to set up counterpart companies back in India - a trend Mr Vajpayee will strongly encourage at his various meetings with the Indian-American community in Washington.

Indian programmers
IT is assuming growing importance
Perhaps the most obvious mark of the importance now attached to the relationship with India is the invitation to the prime minister to address the full Congress.

Such occasions tend to be uncontroversial, with emphasis on the positive factors in the relationship.

In keeping with this, Mr Vajpayee will stress the two countries' shared democratic experience and the potential for increased trade, but avoid mention of either nuclear weapons or Kashmir.

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Clinton in South Asia
Click here for a guide to President Clinton's tour
Key stories:
What did the trip achieve?
Protecting the president
South Asia's nuclear race
Clinton and the Kashmir question
Economic ties:
Americans eye South Asia
India's high-tech hopes
Features:
Village gets makeover
Story in pictures
Talking Point

 Kashmir: Should Clinton mediate?

See also:

Links to more South Asia stories are at the foot of the page.


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Links to more South Asia stories



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