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Thursday, 21 February, 2002, 09:34 GMT
Nepal likely to extend emergency
Smoke rises from a destroyed police building in Mangalsen
Devastation from last weekend's rebel attacks
By Daniel Lak in Kathmandu

Parliament in Nepal is due to vote on Thursday on a motion to extend the state of emergency in the country for another three months.

The emergency was declared last November to allow the Royal Nepal Army to be deployed against a Maoist rebel movement that has been fighting to overthrow the constitutional monarchy in Nepal for six years.

Last weekend in their worst ever attacks, Maoist guerrillas raided a remote western town and killed more than 140 people, mostly soldiers and policemen.

The approval of the emergency is thought likely, but the real challenge will be to restore confidence in the security forces and bring the insurgency under control.

Opposition

The debate on the government's motion to extend the state of emergency has been driven by opposition anger over the attacks last weekend in the district of Achham.

An armed soldier patrols Kathmandu streets
The army is getting funds for more equipment
Members of parliament have been accusing ministers of mishandling the first three months of the emergency and ignoring warnings that a big Maoist attack was imminent.

Nonetheless, parliamentary approval of the emergency is expected, if only because there is little alternative.

The Maoist raids in Achham have plunged the country into fear and uncertainty.

The rebels have called for a two-day general strike beginning on Friday, and the possibility of more attacks or civil unrest during that time cannot be ruled out.

Military challenge

The government says it is determined to keep the pressure up on the Maoists, ordering the army to follow a more offensive strategy in its deployments.

Officials say tens of millions of dollars will be added to the defence budget to help anti-insurgency measures.

That could mean new weapons, or perhaps more helicopters to speed up troop movements.

But what other concrete steps could be taken to strengthen the campaign against the Maoists is not clear.

The army has not faced a military challenge this serious in living memory, and its opponents the Maoists have shown themselves to be skilled and deadly guerrilla fighters.

A negotiated settlement to the crisis may be the only way to avoid years of insurgency and violence, but the government has ruled out peace talks until the rebels lay down their arms.

See also:

18 Feb 02 | South Asia
Nepal PM urges emergency extension
18 Feb 02 | South Asia
Nepalese army told to fight back
17 Feb 02 | South Asia
Dozens feared dead in Nepal violence
10 Feb 02 | South Asia
Nepal MPs hold key debate
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