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| Friday, 25 January, 2002, 15:05 GMT Analysis: India's missile fears ![]() Pakistan may have the edge in the missile stakes By BBC South Asia analyst Mahmud Ali Ballistic missiles are almost impossible to defend against and any country willing to spend large sums of money on them could theoretically build an unstoppable offensive force.
So it would be reasonable to assume that Indian ballistic missiles would be aimed at targets in these two countries. India is known to have two types of ballistic missiles - the Prithvi and the Agni.
A longer-range version of the Agni with a range of around 3,700 km is believed to be on the drawing board. Targeting Pakistan Analysts assume that the Prithvi would be used against Pakistan and the Agni against China.
It is not clear if this is a new version of the Agni that no-one knew about. And it raises the question of why India would deliberately reduce the range of a missile that clearly could go much further. Fuel problem The answer may lie in the difficulties Indian forces face with the liquid-fuelled Prithvi. The propellants are so unstable and inflammable that they have to be mixed before the missile is actually launched. The Prithvi is therefore exposed to potential attack for a long time before it is put to use. But Pakistani forces have access to the solid-fuelled Hatf and Shahin missiles, which are must quicker to launch. Indian strategists would be looking for missiles of comparable characteristics to main effective deterrence. Now that Delhi has demonstrated its capability with a solid-fuelled shorter-range missile, deterrence may have actually been strengthened. However, to recoup its advantage, Pakistan could begin to further improve its own missiles, prompting a whole new missile race. |
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