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| Wednesday, 4 December, 2002, 21:59 GMT Iraq declaration: The key tests ![]() Iraq is likely to deny it has any weapons of mass destruction
The Iraqi declaration on weapons will be subject to detailed tests against intelligence information and by on the ground inspections. However it should not be an immediate trigger for war even if Baghdad does not declare the weapons of mass destruction which the United States and Britain says it has.
The National Security Council in Washington is expected to send the declaration to the various agencies which have the expertise to examine it - especially the CIA and the Defence Department. In London, Foreign Secretary Jack Straw said: "Even if Saddam makes the mistake of lying once again, we will want to nail his lies." He said that "robust inspections and hard questions" would help test the truth of the declaration. Thirty more inspectors are being sent to Iraq this weekend to add to the 17 there already. Mr Straw called the declaration a "career choice" for Saddam Hussein. Of course if significant lies are established, then Iraq might be found by the United States at least to be in material breach of UN Security Council Resolution 1441, in which case war could follow. In advance of the Iraqi document, Washington is keeping up the pressure. "Iraq has lied before and is lying now," said the White House spokesman Ari Fleischer.
President Bush's National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice has urged Dr Hans Blix, the head of the UN weapons inspection organisation Unmovic, to get Iraqi scientists out of the country to question them away from the influence of Saddam Hussein's security agents. This is allowed for in the Security Council resolution. Only in that way, it is believed by some experts, will the real extent of any weapons programmes be uncovered. Iraq has indicated that its declaration will be thousands of pages long. This is partly because it has to declare not just any weapons of mass destruction - which it says it does not have - but also details of its ballistic missile development, its efforts to build unmanned aerial vehicles and other chemical dispersal systems. It also has to disclose all of its civilian chemical, biological and nuclear programmes. According to US intelligence, Iraq possesses:
Other key concerns include the following: Nuclear
Chemical
Biological According to the British dossier, "facilities of concern" which should be explained include:
Missiles
Delivery systems
The list of questions is long. The British Government says that time will have to be taken to study Iraq's declaration. Junior Foreign Office Minister Bill Rammell, who has just returned to London after consultations at the UN in New York, said: "We should not rush to judgment." In other words, it will have to be tested in the field. He said that Dr Hans Blix, head of the inspection organisation Unmovic, would probably give a preliminary assessment to the UN Security Council next week. |
See also: 04 Dec 02 | Europe 04 Dec 02 | Middle East 03 Dec 02 | Middle East 04 Dec 02 | Middle East 03 Dec 02 | Europe 03 Dec 02 | Politics 03 Dec 02 | In Depth Internet links: The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites Top Middle East stories now: Links to more Middle East stories are at the foot of the page. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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