BBC NEWSAmericasAfricaEuropeMiddle EastSouth AsiaAsia PacificArabicSpanishRussianChineseWelsh
BBCiCATEGORIES  TV  RADIO  COMMUNICATE  WHERE I LIVE  INDEX   SEARCH 

BBC NEWS
 You are in: World: Middle East
News image
Front Page 
World 
Africa 
Americas 
Asia-Pacific 
Europe 
Middle East 
South Asia 
-------------
From Our Own Correspondent 
-------------
Letter From America 
UK 
UK Politics 
Business 
Sci/Tech 
Health 
Education 
Entertainment 
Talking Point 
In Depth 
AudioVideo 
News image


Commonwealth Games 2002

BBC Sport

BBC Weather

SERVICES 
Monday, 3 December, 2001, 18:37 GMT
Analysis: Arafat's hard choices
Jerusalem blast
Some 25 people were killed in weekend attacks
Frank Gardner

The Israeli missile attacks on Palestinian targets have left the Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat seriously weakened.

The attacks, which came in response to Palestinian suicide bombings at the weekend, reportedly destroyed three of his helicopters, limiting his freedom of movement.

But when the missiles smashed into his empty helicopters they did more than just physical damage.


If he opts for armed resistance then the Israelis will likely assassinate him within hours

They reminded the ageing Palestinian leader who is boss in the region - and it's not him. The Israelis have shown they can strike anywhere at any time.

Beleaguered and depressed, Yasser Arafat now has two choices - to co-operate with the Israelis and crack down even harder on Islamic militants suspected of planning attacks on Israelis - or to join the militants themselves.

Either choice could well spell his own death sentence.

No half-measures

If Mr Arafat continues to arrest the militants he risks sparking a Palestinian civil war.

If he opts for armed resistance then the Israelis will likely assassinate him within hours.

In the end, Yasser Arafat will probably do what he has always done. He will try to fudge the issue by making some arrests, but not quite enough to threaten his own power base.

Now though, the Israelis are saying that such half measures are not enough, that more effective action is needed.

In the words of the US Secretary of State, Colin Powell, Mr Arafat is now facing his moment of truth.

See also:

03 Dec 01 | Middle East
Israel holds crisis talks
03 Dec 01 | Middle East
US diplomacy put to the test
02 Dec 01 | Middle East
Leaders condemn Israel bomb attacks
02 Dec 01 | Middle East
In pictures: Israel blasts
02 Dec 01 | Middle East
Viewpoint: Ball in Arafat's court
Internet links:


The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites

Links to more Middle East stories are at the foot of the page.


E-mail this story to a friend

Links to more Middle East stories



News imageNews image