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| Monday, 11 June, 2001, 12:16 GMT 13:16 UK Poll boosts Khatami reform bid ![]() The presidential poll was an unofficial referendum on reform By Jim Muir in Tehran With a clear popular mandate behind him to pursue his vision of democracy and freedom, Mohammad Khatami returns reinvigorated to the struggle with entrenched hardliners who have been obstructing his reform plans. His supporters had portrayed the presidential poll as an unofficial referendum on reform, and that is what it was. Unlike the 1997 election, in which Mr Khatami was a little-known underdog pitted against a major establishment-backed conservative figure, there can have been little element of protest in the record 21.6m votes cast for the embattled reformist leader on 8 June. This time, he was the incumbent, and the main right-wing factions failed either to field or support their own candidate, knowing that he would lose heavily and that he might stimulate more votes for Mr Khatami. Source of strength His nine independent conservative rivals did not amount to a serious challenge. The runner-up, Ahmad Tavakoli, a former supply minister, took the bulk of the right-wing vote with 15% of the poll.
He will feel this as a source both of strength, and of obligation to serve the trust that has been placed in him. "The people of Iran now expect the system and the government to take bigger steps to realise and consecrate their just demands and firm resolve," he said in a message to the nation after the results came out. Mr Khatami will also be aware of the silent voice of those who refrained from voting. His victory was impressive, but it was not an overwhelming national vote of confidence. Vote for change The turnout was actually more than a million less than 1997, although the electorate has swollen by 5m. Altogether one-third of the potential voters - 14m people - stayed away, clearly signalling their despair with the system as a whole.
His supporters hope this clear message from the electorate will get through to the hardliners. Through their control of such unelected bodies as the judiciary and the Council of Guardians (which among other things vets legislation), they have blocked and set back the reform process in every way they could. Nobody expects the doors of change to fly open automatically because of this election. Right-wing backlash? But by reinforcing the trend of all other elections since Mr Khatami's stunning victory in 1997, it will generally strengthen his hand in his dealings with the recalcitrant right-wingers, whose support is clearly reduced to a maximum of 15% of the public. The immediate effect will be to increase the pressure on the right-wing camp (which is by no means monolithic), with democratic elements in it feeling the need to get more in tune with the will of the people. This will further isolate the even smaller minority of hardcore right-wingers who believe fundamentally that power and authority do not come from the people but from God, and that any means is justified to support and enforce that rule. In the short term, there may be an angry backlash from the hardliners. Their first reaction came on the streets of Tehran when groups of furious Ansar Hezbollah (right-wing vigilantes) attacked and beat up jubilant Khatami supporters celebrating his victory on Saturday night. Mr Khatami is not a man of confrontation and victory, but of quiet persuasion and unity. In the coming months and years, he and his supporters will continue pressing their case on all fronts and suffering setbacks on many, but knowing that all the time out in society, the tide of history is moving inexorably in. |
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