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| Friday, 23 March, 2001, 12:58 GMT Analysis: Europe's global gamble ![]() The EU is heavily involved in Balkan diplomacy By Dr Steven Everts of the Centre for European Reform The European Union is increasingly trying to assert itself on the global stage. EU foreign affairs chiefs have travelled widely in recent weeks, visiting amongst other places the Balkans, the Caucasus, Ukraine, Moldova and Kaliningrad - the Russian Baltic enclave between Poland and Lithuania. The strongest evidence of the EU's efforts to project its values and defend its interests came when Chris Patten, the European Commissioner for External Relations, and Javier Solana, the EU's High Representative, visited the Middle East.
What is behind this EU drive to "punch its weight" in the world? And will it be successful? In the past, EU foreign policy was largely a matter of passing resolutions and granting economic assistance. Javier Solana recently said that the mentality of the EU was very much like that of the World Bank: it was a place where people handed out money. Financial resources Diplomatic incoherence, military weakness and deficient external credibility all hampered the effectiveness of EU foreign policy. And despite repeated attempts to enhance its global role, the EU could never quite shake off that damning label of being an economic giant but a political pygmy. As a result, the Americans exerted global political leadership pretty much by default. Recently, the EU has been trying to wield its considerable financial resources in a more focused and more overtly political way - but it may be raising expectations that it will be unable to fulfil - and in particular it has yet to prove that the Middle East is a sensible focus for its diplomatic energies. 'Soft' security With escalating levels of political rhetoric and violence on all sides, it is uncertain that the EU can deliver a Middle East peace settlement where the US has failed.
These types of foreign policy instruments can be usefully deployed to create the circumstances that might reduce levels of distrust. More generally, the EU is about overcoming historical enmities and about subjecting inter-state relations to the rule of law. In other words, the EU's system of governance has much to offer to the region. But realistically, this sort of EU help can only come into play after a basic peace agreement has been reached. The Middle East is perhaps not the most obvious place for the EU to try to enhance its diplomatic profile. Given the intractable nature of the region's conflicts, the chances of success are slim. And because EU foreign policy is still a relatively new venture, a possible failure is not what Europe needs right now. The reverse is also true: nothing succeeds like success. Opinion divided Moreover, member-states are more divided over the Middle East than they are over the Balkans or Russia. These divisions will inevitably put limits on how effective EU policy will be. And finally, regions such as Russia and the Balkans arguably involve European interests more directly. Many therefore argue that the EU should focus its efforts on those regions instead. The EU should certainly avoid over-promising and under-delivering. But equally, the demands upon the EU are such that it simply cannot avoid playing a global role. |
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