| You are in: World: Middle East | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tuesday, 6 February, 2001, 23:07 GMT What Sharon means for peace ![]() Mr Sharon may find himself constrained By Middle East analyst Roger Hardy Few people are indifferent towards Ariel Sharon. To his supporters he's a saviour, the strongman Israel has so sorely lacked during the last four months of violent confrontation between Israel and the Palestinians.
To his detractors, he is a warmonger, a reckless extremist who will plunge Israelis and Arabs into an era of fresh danger and even sharper polarisation. In the words of the Washington Post, he is "a man who embodies Israel's most militaristic impulses". The newspaper warned in an editorial that "unless Mr Sharon breaks with his past, for months and maybe years the Israeli-Palestinian conflict could be destined to be a grinding, occasionally bloody stalemate". So will he break with his past?
Simply to recount his past exploits - as an audacious and sometimes insubordinate soldier, as the architect of Israel's disastrous intervention in Lebanon in the 1980s, as a champion of its policy of building settlements in occupied Arab territory - is to ignore two things. First, Ariel Sharon is no longer a young man. One fellow right-winger has called him a toothless lion. He is now in his early seventies, looking paler and more tired than in the past - no longer quite living up to his nickname the "bulldozer". Second, his room for manoeuvre will be limited by several factors. He will inherit the same fractured and fractious parliament which gave his predecessor, Ehud Barak, such headaches. In fact, some Israeli commentators say there may have to be new parliamentary elections within six months.
Mr Sharon may be constrained, too, by the new Bush administration in Washington. So far, George Bush's top officials are keeping the Middle East at arm's length. Constraints But if the violence of recent months continues, the new US administration will come under pressure to step in. It will, at the very least, seek some reassurance from Mr Sharon that Israel has not abandoned the quest for peace. And, finally, the new Israeli prime minister may find himself constrained by the realities on the ground.
An alternative approach (and one which might find favour in Washington) would be to give priority to the search for a peace settlement with Syria and Lebanon, leaving the Palestinian issue to simmer for the time being. But whatever political alliances he makes at home, and whatever his policies towards the Arabs, there will always be something about Ariel Sharon which makes people uneasy. There is an impulsive streak to his character, and a question mark over his political judgement. Many fear that his advent to power will further unsettle a deeply troubled region. |
Internet links: The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites Top Middle East stories now: Links to more Middle East stories are at the foot of the page. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Links to more Middle East stories |
| ^^ Back to top News Front Page | World | UK | UK Politics | Business | Sci/Tech | Health | Education | Entertainment | Talking Point | In Depth | AudioVideo ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- To BBC Sport>> | To BBC Weather>> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- © MMIII|News Sources|Privacy | ||