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Wednesday, 20 September, 2000, 09:33 GMT 10:33 UK
Oil rises hit poor hardest, says UN
German banner reads: My wife is already expensive
European anger - but poor nations will suffer more, says UN
By the BBC's Claire Doole in Geneva

The United Nations says high oil prices pose a serious threat to developing economies dependent on oil imports.

The protests at high oil prices may have been loudest in the rich countries, but the annual report by the UN Conference on Trade and Development says it is the poorer countries which will be much harder hit.

But UNCTAD predicts the overall impact of the surge in oil prices will have only a limited effect on global growth.

The report says oil importing developing countries are suffering for two reasons.

Traffic chaos
Despite the chaos, the report says global growth should continue
The tripling of oil prices in the past two years means they will have to pay more for oil and their economies - already weakened by a slump in other commodity prices - are not able to compensate.

But the UN report says the impact on global growth should be limited, because the industrialised countries have weaned their economies off their oil dependence.

It believes the global economy is on track for 3% growth this year.

Root causes

Much of this is due to the flourishing US economy, but the report forecasts future growth is dependent on the US economy not overheating and Japan and Europe both improving their performance.

It also warns that many of the root causes that led to the fear of recession a few years ago remain.

Big imbalances in growth, external payments and capital flows are all, it says, storing up problems for the future.

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See also:

19 Sep 00 | Europe
IMF warns of oil price threat
16 Sep 00 | Business
G7 to pressure Opec
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