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| Wednesday, 24 November, 1999, 23:08 GMT Analysis: Chechen war divides neighbours
By Eurasia Analyst Malcolm Haslett The war in Chechnya is often seen as a war against Islam, or at least a war against Islamic extremism. It may seem surprising, then, that Russia's campaign has received its strongest support from some of the traditionally-Muslim areas of the former Soviet Union.
There may be some sympathy for the Chechens, as Muslims, among the populations there. But among the ruling elites, such is the genuine fear and loathing of what's seen as Islamic fundamentalism that officials in places like Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan have found it difficult to conceal their very real pleasure that Russia is, as they see it, hitting back at the religious fanaticism. Uzbekistan's President Islam Karimov, for instance - who only a few months ago was talking of quitting the Russian-led CIS Security Pact - now seems only too happy to co-operate in joint military exercises with troops from Russia and the other Central Asian republics. The recent emergency in Kyrgyzstan, where Kyrgyz forces for weeks battled against a mainly Uzbek force of Islamists, has seriously rattled the secular authorities in all these republics. Less enthusiasm But elsewhere in the former Soviet Union, with the notable exception of Belarus, which is just about to sign a union treaty with Russia, there's been little official enthusiasm for the Chechen war.
And in the Caucasus region the mood, both official and popular, is even less pro-Russian. Azerbaijan and Georgia have both clearly been offended by Russian suggestions that they are wittingly or unwittingly giving the Chechen rebels support, and see it as an attempt to intimidate them. Russia has said it will introduce visas for people travelling from its two southern neighbours. Georgia, meanwhile, has accused Russian forces of several times infringing Georgian territory in its attempts to seal the mountainous border between Georgia and Chechnya. As for the third Caucasian republic, Armenia, it does have close military ties with Russia and given its strained relations with its mostly Muslim neighbours there is a degree of anti-Islamic feeling there. And yet its leaders know that if they want to build up their country's fragile economy, they'll have to develop relations with the West - and that means restoring relations with Turkey and Azerbaijan. If that happens, Armenia's reliance on Russia for 'protection' may well be seriously reduced |
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