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Last Updated: Thursday, 14 August, 2003, 10:22 GMT 11:22 UK
Warren Buffett: Investment guru
Warren Buffett, dubbed "the sage of Omaha", from where he controls investment group Berkshire Hathaway, is well-known for both his blunt assessments of financial markets and the high returns he delivers to shareholders.

Warren Buffett
Buffett: Not taken in by the dot.com boom
This year, he remains cool towards further share investments, despite the sharp correction in stock market values.

Mr Buffett says this "dismal fact is testimony to the insanity of valuations reached during The Great Bubble".

A good friend of Bill Gates, he famously refused to invest in technology shares during the boom years that came to a sudden end in March 2000. As a result, Berkshire was sitting pretty after the technology bubble burst.

In marked contrast to the hubris of former managers at fallen firms such as Enron and WorldCom, Mr Buffett is known for his down-to-earth style, summoning shareholders not to glitzy hotels but "Berkshire backyard barbecues" and baseball games in out-of-the-way Omaha, Nebraska.

[The derivatives business is like] hell - easy to enter and almost impossible to exit
Warren Buffett
But his strategy of identifying undervalued companies with good management in unfashionable retail sectors or the insurance industry and investing in them for the long-term has produced spectacular returns.

During the past 37 years, the company has delivered an average annual return of 22.6%. Since 1965 the company's book value has gone up by 194,936%.

However in 2001, the last year for which detailed numbers are available, heavy losses in the insurance industry worldwide resulted in a $3.8bn loss at Berkshire Hathaway - the first loss in the firm's history under Warren Buffett.

Time bombs

Earlier this year in his plain-spoken "annual letter to shareholders", he turned his ire on the rapidly growing trade in derivatives, saying it posed a "mega-catastrophic risk" for the economy.

The derivatives market has exploded in recent years, with investment banks selling billions of dollars worth of these investments to clients as a way to off-load or manage market risk.

But Mr Buffett argued that such highly complex financial instruments are time bombs and "financial weapons of mass destruction" that could harm not only their buyers and sellers, but the whole economic system.

Derivatives are financial instruments that allow investors to speculate on the future price of, for example, commodities or shares - without buying the underlying investment.

Derivatives like futures, options and swaps were developed to allow investors hedge risks in financial markets - in effect buy insurance against market movements -, but have quickly become a means of investment in their own right.

Some derivatives contracts, Mr Buffett says, appear to have been devised by "madmen".

He warns that derivatives can push companies onto a "spiral that can lead to a corporate meltdown", like the demise of the notorious hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management in 1998.

Years to unwind deals

Derivatives also pose a dangerous incentive for false accounting, Mr Buffett says.

The profits and losses from derivatives deals are booked straight away, even though no actual money changes hand. In many cases the real costs hit companies only many years later.

This can result in nasty accounting errors. Some of them spring from "honest" optimism. But others are the result of "huge-scale fraud", and Mr Buffett points to the US energy market, which relied for most of its deals on derivatives trading and resulted in the collapse of Enron.

Berkshire Hathaway is pulling out of the market, closing down the derivatives trading subsidiary it bought as part of a huge reinsurance company a few years ago.

In his letter Mr Buffett compared the derivatives business to "hell... easy to enter and almost impossible to exit", and predicts that it will take years to unwind the complex deals struck by its subsidiary General Re Securities.




SEE ALSO:
Arnie in Warren Buffett coup
13 Aug 03  |  Business
$250,100 for a Buffett lunch
11 Jul 03  |  Business
Buffett boosts insurance investment
06 Nov 02  |  Business
Market madness ending, says Buffett
27 Sep 02  |  Business
Warren Buffett warns on terror risk
06 May 02  |  Business
Warren Buffett: 'I told you so'
13 Mar 01  |  Business


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