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Last Updated: Wednesday, 9 April, 2003, 10:50 GMT 11:50 UK
UK trade deficit soars
The UK's trade deficit with the rest of the world has widened more than expected as exports to the United States and Saudi Arabia fell sharply in February.

Figures from the Office For National Statistics (ONS) said the UK goods trade deficit reached �3.7bn in February, compared with �3.2bn in January.

Analysts had predicted a deficit of about �3.3bn.

ONS blamed the gap on trade with countries outside the European Union and economists warned that the situation was likely to get worse before it gets better.

Art exports stalled

Overall exports were down almost 5% in February but imports also fell by 1.5%.

With the overseas environment so fragile, the trade position is very likely to get worse before it gets better
Jonathan Loynes, Capital Economics

The result was a trade gap of �2.4bn with countries outside the EU, up from �2bn in January.

Within Europe, the trade gap fell only slightly from �1.2bn to �1.25bn.

The ONS said the drop in exports to the US was probably driven by fewer works of art changing hands and may have accounted for half the monthly fall in exports.

Getting worse

Economists at Capital Economics said the latest figures put the UK's trade position back on a widening trend after things had looked to be improving at the end of last year.

"The numbers also mean that net trade is likely to act as a significant drag on GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth in the first quarter of this year," said Jonathan Loynes.

Mr Loynes added that other figures such as weak retail sales point towards a slowing economy.

"With the overseas environment so fragile, the trade position is very likely to get worse before it gets better," he said.


SEE ALSO:
Boost for UK economy
27 Mar 03  |  Business
Economic woe prompts investor gloom
08 Apr 03  |  Business
UK industry suffers sharp decline
18 Feb 03  |  Business
Surprise cut in UK interest rates
18 Feb 03  |  Business


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