Skip to main contentAccess keys help

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
BBC News
watch One-Minute World News
Last Updated:  Tuesday, 25 February, 2003, 06:48 GMT
Aussie dollar keeps on booming
Australian cricket supporters
A booming economy has given Australia something to celebrate
The resurgent Australian dollar has breached the 60 US-cent ceiling for the first time since 2000, buoyed by high interest rates and a soaring local economy.

The Aussie - as foreign exchange traders call the dollar - has risen by 8% against the US currency this year, mainly because Australian interest rates are 3.5 percentage points higher than what can be earned in the US.

Underpinning those high rates is one of the liveliest economies in the developed world, one that has yet to suffer from the global economic slowdown.

"The Aussie's new rippled physique can be attributed to higher commodity prices, a weak greenback and Australia's relatively high interest rates and firm domestic economy," said Craig James of Commonwealth Securities.

The government currently forecasts the Australian economy to grow by 3.75% this year, way in excess of the average likely in Europe or the US.

Southern hemisphere safe haven

Like a handful of other rich-country currencies - notably the Swiss franc - the Aussie has benefited from doubts over the euro.

Australian dollar

Jitters over the US dollar, sparked by a combination of recession and terrorism fears, have benefited the European currency - but many traders have looked elsewhere for a safe haven.

Anchored by firm prices for the commodities its exports, Australia has become a natural home for the nervous.

This rebound goes some way to reverse a five-year decline in the Aussie, which in late 1996 was worth as much as US$0.82.

During the 1980s and 1990s, the currency was persistently weak on the international markets, a fact that helped Australian exporters prosper, laying the foundations for the country's current success.

Good news for all?

Now, analysts feel even a resurgence in the US dollar need not be bad news for the Aussie.

"A rally in the US dollar is likely to be associated with a rebound in global growth confidence, probably coincident with a rally in equity prices," which would in turn boost Australian growth, said Greg Gibbs of RBC Capital Markets.

The most negative case for the currency, Mr Gibbs said, would be a "long and protracted war and a persistently high oil price that significantly undermines the global economic outlook and drives commodity prices lower".

But if the currency continues to strengthen, heading back towards the levels it saw in the mid-1990s, that might weigh on exporters - and hence bring Australia's current boom to an end.




WATCH AND LISTEN
Brian Redican, chief economist McQuarrie Bank
"Australia's growth performance in the last couple of years has been very impressive"



SEE ALSO:
Australian economy defies drought
04 Dec 02 |  Business
Australian growth hit by drought
27 Nov 02 |  Business
Drought hurts Australia's economy
11 Nov 02 |  Business
Australian employment falls
08 Aug 02 |  Business
Country Profile: Australia
21 Feb 02 |  Country profiles


INTERNET LINKS:
The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites


PRODUCTS AND SERVICES

News Front Page | Africa | Americas | Asia-Pacific | Europe | Middle East | South Asia
UK | Business | Entertainment | Science/Nature | Technology | Health
Have Your Say | In Pictures | Week at a Glance | Country Profiles | In Depth | Programmes
AmericasAfricaEuropeMiddle EastSouth AsiaAsia Pacific