BBC NEWSAmericasAfricaEuropeMiddle EastSouth AsiaAsia PacificArabicSpanishRussianChineseWelsh
BBCiCATEGORIES  TV  RADIO  COMMUNICATE  WHERE I LIVE  INDEX   SEARCH 

BBC NEWS
 You are in:  Business
News image
Front Page 
World 
UK 
UK Politics 
Business 
Market Data 
Economy 
Companies 
E-Commerce 
Your Money 
Business Basics 
Sci/Tech 
Health 
Education 
Entertainment 
Talking Point 
In Depth 
AudioVideo 
News image


Commonwealth Games 2002

BBC Sport

BBC Weather

SERVICES 
Monday, 18 February, 2002, 17:20 GMT
Zambian budget deep in the red
Levy Mwanawasa (right) at final rally
President Mwanawasa's two-month-old government faces a heavy burden
Just weeks after mining giant Anglo American pulled out of a critical copper mining operation, Zambia's economy has suffered a second blow in the shape of a spiralling budget deficit.

The shortfall in 2001 grew to 8%, far above the 0.75% that had been forecast, new figures show.

President Frederick Chiluba
Chiluba: former president who sold off the mines
The deficit was blamed on sharp rises in public sector pay combined with spending increases ahead of presidential elections in December.

The need to tighten belts increases the pressure on President Levy Mwanawasa's new government, already in difficulties after an election which observers have alleged was rigged.

Alongside agriculture, copper has long been the mainstay of Zambia's economy, accounting for 80% of exports and a fifth of overall economic output.

But with the mines in trouble just three years after they were sold off, and much of last year's crop flooded out, the budget is expected to come under more strain, not less.

IMF aid in prospect

The government can take some comfort from an offer of $300m from the International Monetary Fund to help the country cope with Anglo's pullout.

"Zambia faces very difficult circumstances," Robert Sharer, the IMF's assistant director for Africa, said after meeting government figures in Lusaka.

"External resources have declined... in these difficult times, the IMF stands ready to continue helping Zambia."

The $300m package, comprising a mixture of new loans and debt relief, is to be discussed in Washington DC in April.

And despite the problems with Anglo, the economy has made some progress in pulling out of the dive it experienced in the 1980s.

Growth hit 5.2% last year, up from 4% in 2000, and inflation fell to 19% from 30% the year before.

Bad omens

But the rising deficit risks spoiling the party in the coming year.

On Saturday, the IMF said its assistance should help Zambia to get inflation down further to 13% this year, with growth projected at about 4-4.5%.

However, the Fund also said that cutting the budget deficit is key to restoring economic stability and boosting much-needed investment.

Children on a hilltop in Zambia's Copperbelt mining area
Zambian's are disillusioned with a decade of corruption
Anglo's decision to throw in the towel came as copper prices hit 14-year lows of $1,605 a tonne in London.

Plugging the investment gap left by Anglo may prove difficult.

Among foreign investors, political instability is increasingly being seen as a barrier to involvement in a country.

The continuing arguments about the election risk lumping Zambia in with neighbouring Zimbabwe, whose economic woes have been heightened by the increasingly erratic behaviour of President Robert Mugabe.

See also:

25 Jan 02 | Business
Blow to Zambia copper industry
21 Jan 02 | Business
Zambia bid for foreign investors
02 Jan 02 | Business
Economic challenge for Zambia
02 Jan 02 | Africa
Row mars Zambia power transfer
27 Dec 01 | Business
Zambia's economic travails
19 Dec 01 | Africa
Timeline: Zambia
19 Dec 01 | Africa
Chiluba's legacy to Zambia
30 Nov 01 | Business
Zambia's manufacturing malaise
29 Jan 02 | Country profiles
Country profile: Zambia
Internet links:


The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites

Links to more Business stories are at the foot of the page.


E-mail this story to a friend

Links to more Business stories



News imageNews image