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| Analysis: What next for Nigeria? Within a month in 1998, Nigeria lost both its military ruler Sani Abacha and its main opposition figure, Chief Moshood Abiola. Nigeria's recent political history was shaped by the dominating personalities of these two men. With their deaths, the political landscape has been transformed. World leaders called on the government of General Abdusalam Abubakar to continue with the transition to civilian rule, which was due to take place by October 1. The United Nations Secretary General Kofi Annan said: "I hope the government of Nigeria will make good on its pledge to release all remaining political prisoners unconditionally and to define a credible process for the democratic transition to civilian rule within a reasonable period," he said. Nigeria's long-serving ambassador to the UN, Ibrahim Gambari, said he believed that Nigeria would indeed go ahead with the planned transition process. But new plans have yet to be unveiled by military leader General Abubakar. No obvious opposition successor Chief Abiola's death left the Nigerian opposition movement divided and without an obvious successor. Among those leaders critical of the military government are:
Mixed feelings over Abiola
Others were angered by reports that he was about to renounce his presidential mandate in exchange for his freedom. Chief Abiola also alienated support among Muslims in the North, who had previously backed him, but were subsequently accused of conspiring with the military to keep him out of power. Need for military to restore credibility What to do about Chief Abiola was the most delicate issue faced by the new and potentially more flexible military leadership. His detention was one of the main reasons for continued international santions, but as long as he called himself the rightful elected leader of Nigeria, his freedom could destabilise the new political process about to be announced. Now he has gone from the scene and many see this as altogether too convenient. Speculation that Chief Abiola's death was not an accident has fuelled the wave of rioting and protests in southern Nigeria, the political stronghold of the opposition leader. "I think the first thing the government has to deal with is to appease his supporters and to deal with the immediate political aftermath of his death," said the BBC Nigeria correspondent Hilary Andersson. How the military responds to a political backlash which has abruptly ended their political honeymoon will reveal much about their long term intentions on human rights and democracy.
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See also: 07 Jul 98 | Africa 07 Jul 98 | Africa 08 Jul 98 | Africa 04 Dec 98 | Africa Internet links: The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites Top After Abacha stories now: Links to more After Abacha stories are at the foot of the page. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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